TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Volume:
$101,638
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends best-of-one match between ZYB Esport and Esprit Shōnen in the LFL Regular Season, scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The markets assess both the overall match winner and specific in-game events (kills, objectives, dragons, baron, inhibitors) that may occur during Game 1. Resolution depends on official match completion and in-game statistics tracked by gol.gg.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket includes comprehensive match cancellation, forfeit, and delay rules with 50-50 resolution outcomes, while Kalshi uses a binary Yes/No structure that does not explicitly address these contingencies. The scope and resolution pathways differ materially.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you face explicit 50-50 resolution risk if the match is delayed beyond 7 days, forfeited, or canceled. On Kalshi, the binary structure does not clarify how these scenarios resolve, creating ambiguity. Avoid large positions until the match is confirmed to proceed on schedule.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Polymarket defines six distinct markets (Quadra Kill, Both Teams Dragon, Match Winner, Both Teams Inhibitors, Odd/Even Kills, Both Teams Baron) with unified contingency logic: all resolve to 50-50 if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, forfeited, or never played. Match winner resolves YES to the team that wins; if canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. Game-specific markets resolve based on in-game events prior to stoppage or surrender. Resolution source is gol.gg within 2 hours, with credible reporting as fallback. Key quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Kalshi presents a single binary market: 'If Esprit Shōnen wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If ZYB Esport wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This structure does not explicitly address cancellation, delay, forfeit, or tie scenarios. The binary framing (Yes if either team wins) leaves no logical path for 50-50 or No resolution, creating ambiguity about contingency handling. Key quote: 'If Esprit Shōnen wins the LFL 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes. If ZYB Esport wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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