TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Vitality.Bee and Galions in the LFL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 10 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality.Bee" if Vitality.Bee win the match against Galions. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against Vitality.Bee. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution rules are logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states the market resolves YES if either Galions OR Vitality.Bee wins, making YES the only possible outcome regardless of match result. Polymarket correctly specifies that the market resolves to the winning team's name, creating a binary outcome. This fundamental logical failure in Kalshi makes that platform's market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — its resolution criteria guarantee YES regardless of outcome, violating basic market logic. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent binary resolution (Vitality.Bee wins or Galions wins). If you hold Kalshi YES, you will receive payout regardless of the actual match result, but this represents a critical platform error, not a trading opportunity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rules state 'If Galions wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Vitality.Bee wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning the market resolves YES for every possible outcome. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument. No other platform shares this flawed logic.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket correctly specifies binary resolution: 'This market will resolve to Vitality.Bee if Vitality.Bee win the match' and 'This market will resolve to Galions if Galions win the match,' with clear tie/cancellation rules resolving to 50-50. This is the only coherent resolution framework in the group.
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