TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Spandau (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Volume:
$31,169
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-1 match between VfB eSports and Eintracht Spandau in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The group includes markets for match winner and multiple in-game statistics (Baron/Dragon/Inhibitor destruction, multi-kills, and kill parity).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the outcome of the Prime League 1st Division 2026 season (winner determination), while Polymarket resolves on specific in-game statistics from Game 1 of the BO1 match scheduled for April 8, 2026. These are logically incompatible: Kalshi's markets cannot resolve until the entire season concludes, whereas Polymarket's markets resolve based on a single game that may or may not determine the season outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions in this group. Kalshi bets depend on season-long performance and may not resolve until months after April 8. Polymarket bets resolve within hours of the April 8 match based on in-game events only. If you bet on Kalshi, you are betting on who wins the 2026 Prime League season; if you bet on Polymarket, you are betting on specific Game 1 statistics. These outcomes are independent.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves based on the final outcome of the Prime League 1st Division 2026 season. Both Kalshi markets (items 1 and 2) state 'If [team] wins the Prime League 1st Division 2026: Eintracht Spandau vs. VfB eSports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.' This conflates the April 8 match with season championship determination, creating ambiguity about whether the April 8 result alone determines the market or whether the season outcome is what matters. The resolution source is not explicitly stated.
- Polymarket: Aligned with each other (all Polymarket markets share identical scope): Polymarket resolves based exclusively on Game 1 statistics from the April 8, 2026 match, independent of season outcome. All five Polymarket markets (items 3–7, 10, 12, 14) explicitly state 'This market will resolve based on whether both teams had [condition] prior to stoppage' and reference gol.gg as the primary source. Each market has independent resolution criteria (Baron kills, total kills parity, Quadra/Penta kills, Dragon kills, Inhibitor destruction) and all resolve to 50-50 if Game 1 is not played or is remade, ensuring Game 1 statistics are the sole determinant.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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