TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Oh My God in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 17 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against Oh My God. This market will resolve to "Oh My God" if Oh My God win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting and video evidence if gol.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after event conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Series-level markets (Games Total O/U 2.5, Match Winner, Game Handicap) resolve based on total games played in the completed BO3 series; forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, and defaults count toward game totals if the match is completed.
- Game-specific markets (Game 1/2/3 Winner, First Blood, Objective markets) resolve based on the outcome or statistics of that individual game only; if a game is not played due to series clinch, forfeit, or walkover, these markets resolve 50-50.
- Objective markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitor, Kills, Penta/Quadra Kills) resolve based on in-game statistics recorded in the completed game; if a game begins but is not completed via surrender, resolution is based on statistics prior to stoppage.
- If the match is canceled entirely, delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined, ends in a tie, or begins but is not completed with one team winning via opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, series-level markets resolve 50-50.
- If a game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only; if first blood occurred prior to a remake, that result stands; otherwise, first blood resolution is based on the remade game.
- Kalshi's Game 2 Winner market resolves YES if either team wins Game 2, confirming that Game 2 was played and completed with a winner.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Series Clinch Before Game Completion: If one team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed (e.g., 2-0 lead), Game 3 markets resolve 50-50 because Game 3 is never played. Series-level markets resolve based on the completed games.
- Forfeit During Clinching Game: If the clinching game is forfeited, this counts as a completed match for series-level markets. The forfeiting team loses that game, and the series result stands.
- Incomplete Game via Surrender: If a game begins but ends via surrender before completion, objective markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitor, Kills) resolve based on statistics recorded prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, markets resolve NO (or 50-50 for First Blood if no first blood occurred).
- No Kills Recorded in Game: If a completed game records zero total kills, Odd/Even Total Kills markets resolve 50-50. Total Kills Over/Under markets also resolve 50-50 if the game is incomplete.
- Remake Timing for First Blood: If Game 1 is remade, first blood resolution uses the result from before the remake if first blood occurred; otherwise, it resolves based on the remade game. If first blood never occurs in either version, the market resolves 50-50.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication by gol.gg within 2 hours of event conclusion. If gol.gg does not publish within 2 hours, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. Series-level markets resolve upon completion of the series; game-specific markets resolve upon completion of that individual game.Follow the signals, not the noise
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