TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 11 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive resolution rules for a full BO3 series with detailed game-level markets, forfeit handling, and objective-based conditions. Kalshi's market is severely underspecified—it only addresses whether 'map 2' is played by either team, with no resolution logic for cancellation, forfeiture, timing delays, or what constitutes a completed match. This creates a fundamental logical contradiction: Kalshi's market can resolve YES even if the series is canceled or never begins, whereas Polymarket's equivalent markets (Game 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5) would resolve 50-50 under identical circumstances.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi's 'map 2' market, understand that it will resolve YES if map 2 is played by EITHER team—even if the series is canceled before map 2 or if map 2 is played in isolation due to forfeiture. On Polymarket, equivalent markets (Game 2 Winner, Games Total) have explicit 50-50 resolution for cancellations and incomplete series. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will resolve identically; Kalshi's lack of edge-case rules creates unresolvable ambiguity.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket provides exhaustive resolution rules covering cancellation (50-50 if delayed >7 days), forfeiture (50-50 if series forfeited before completion), incomplete series (50-50 if match begins but not completed), and game-specific conditions. For Game 2 Winner, Polymarket states 'If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.' For Games Total O/U 2.5, 'If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market is minimalist and logically incomplete. The only resolution rule provided is 'If Team WE wins map 2 in the LPL 2026: Invictus Gaming vs. Team WE League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Invictus Gaming wins map 2 in the LPL 2026: Invictus Gaming vs. Team WE League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.' No resolution rule exists for cancellation, forfeiture, delay beyond 7 days, incomplete series, or what happens if map 2 is never played. This creates a logical gap: the market does not specify a NO outcome or a 50-50 fallback.
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