TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
Volume:
$118,209
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single League of Legends Best-of-One match between Team Orange Gaming and Berlin International Gaming (BIG) scheduled for April 2, 2026, as part of the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season. The markets resolve based on which team wins this specific match during the 2026 Prime League season.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on match outcome (winner determination), while Polymarket resolves on specific in-game mechanics (Baron kills, Dragon kills, Inhibitor destruction, Quadra/Penta kills, total kill parity). These are logically independent: a team can win without both teams slaying Baron, and vice versa. Additionally, Kalshi's two markets are logically contradictory — they cannot both resolve YES simultaneously since only one team can win a BO1.Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets move together. A Kalshi YES (Team Orange wins) tells you nothing about whether both teams slay Baron (Polymarket). Conversely, Polymarket's in-game mechanics markets are independent of match outcome. Treat each platform's markets as separate prediction events with no correlation guarantee.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers two contradictory match-outcome markets. Market 1 resolves YES if Berlin International Gaming wins; Market 2 resolves YES if Team Orange Gaming wins. Only one can resolve YES. Both use official gol.gg as source and resolve 50-50 on cancellation/delay beyond 7 days. However, these two markets are mutually exclusive by definition — they measure the same underlying event (match winner) and cannot both be true. This creates an internal logical contradiction within the Kalshi platform's market group.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six in-game mechanics markets (Baron kills, Dragon kills, Inhibitor destruction, Quadra kills, Penta kills, total kill parity) plus one match-outcome market. The in-game mechanics markets resolve based on specific objective/kill events during Game 1, independent of match outcome. For example, 'Both Teams Slay Baron' resolves YES only if both teams each slay Baron at least once, regardless of who wins the match. All Polymarket markets use official gol.gg as source, resolve 50-50 on cancellation/delay beyond 7 days, and resolve 50-50 if Game 1 is never played (forfeit/walkover). The match-outcome market ('LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs BIG') resolves to the winning team name or 50-50 on cancellation/tie/delay beyond 7 days or forfeit/walkover.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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