TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Team Heretics and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 11 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Heretics. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes. Kalshi focuses on a single binary outcome (whether over 2.5 maps are played), while Polymarket offers 13 granular in-game event markets tied to specific games (Game 1, 2, and 3) with conditional resolution rules. The platforms diverge on scope, resolution triggers, and game-level dependencies.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting only on series length (3+ games = YES). On Polymarket, you are betting on specific in-game events (inhibitors, dragons, kills, penta kills, etc.) that may never occur if certain games are not played. Polymarket markets resolve 50-50 if their target game is skipped due to series clinch, forfeit, or cancellation — a risk absent from Kalshi's simpler binary.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single series-level binary market resolving YES if 3 or more games are played (over 2.5 maps), with no game-specific conditions. The market is independent of in-game events and resolves based purely on match completion and game count. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the LEC 2026: Natus Vincere vs. Team Heretics League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 13 granular in-game event markets (inhibitors, dragons, baron, kills, penta kills, quadra kills, first blood, kill totals) tied to specific games (1, 2, 3) with conditional 50-50 resolution if the target game is not played due to series clinch, forfeit, walkover, or cancellation beyond 7 days. Each market depends on its game being completed. Key quote: 'If Game 2 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 2 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
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