TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: RED Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Volume:
$110,843
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-One match between RED Academy and INTZ e-Sports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season (Brazilian regional competition), originally scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span both the match winner and specific in-game objectives (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors, multi-kills, kill parity), with resolution contingent on official match completion and data publication.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi markets resolve on whether the match occurs (binary: match happens = YES for both outcomes), while Polymarket markets resolve on specific in-game statistics and match outcomes. This creates a logical contradiction where Kalshi's markets cannot distinguish between RED Academy and INTZ e-Sports victories.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket positions in this group. Kalshi's two markets both resolve YES if the match is played regardless of winner, making them identical bets on match occurrence only. Polymarket's markets resolve on actual match outcomes and in-game events. If you believe the match will be played, Kalshi YES bets are equivalent; if you want directional exposure to team performance or specific game events, use Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's markets (both the INTZ win market and RED Academy win market) resolve YES if either team wins the match, making them logically identical bets on match occurrence rather than team outcome. Both markets state 'If INTZ e-Sports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If RED Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a contradiction where both outcomes trigger YES resolution. This violates basic mutual exclusivity required for a competitive match.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports resolution: Polymarket's match outcome market resolves to 'RED Academy' if RED Academy wins and 'INTZ e-Sports' if INTZ e-Sports wins, with 50-50 resolution only for cancellation, ties, or delays beyond 7 days. Polymarket's in-game markets (Penta Kill, Odd/Even Kills, Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, Quadra Kill) all resolve based on actual game statistics and events that occur during Game 1, with 50-50 fallback only for non-play scenarios. These markets are logically coherent and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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