TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

Volume:
$841,297

Game 2 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 2 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 29, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 11:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$305,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$247,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ultra Prime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,061
N/A
N/A
$31,384
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$176,134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oh My God

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,468
N/A
N/A
$42,672
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$645
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$87
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 16.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 17.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 67

Description

This market group tracks the outcome of a League of Legends best-of-three (BO3) match between Oh My God and Ultra Prime, scheduled for March 28, 2026, as part of the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1. The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the match, creating a tautological condition where resolution is guaranteed regardless of outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi resolves based on the tournament winner (either team winning the Esports World Cup China Qualifier 2026), while Polymarket resolves based on specific in-game events during individual games (dragon slays, inhibitor destruction, kills, etc.). These are logically independent: a team can win the tournament without playing Game 3, or Game 3 may never occur, causing Polymarket markets to resolve 50-50 while Kalshi's outcome is determined.Hero tip: If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on tournament outcome only. If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on granular in-game mechanics that may never materialize if the series ends early (e.g., 2-0). Do not assume Kalshi's YES (tournament winner) implies Polymarket's YES on any specific game event. The two platforms are measuring entirely different things.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves based on tournament outcome only. Both markets (Kalshi #1 and #2) state: 'If [team] wins the Esports World Cup China Qualifier 2026: Ultra Prime vs. Oh My God League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a binary tournament-winner market with no game-level detail. Resolution source is implicit (tournament results), and there is no contingency for individual game events.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 40+ markets, each tied to specific in-game events (Game 1/2/3 winners, dragon slays, baron kills, inhibitor destruction, kill counts, first blood, multi-kill achievements, odd/even kills). Each market includes explicit 50-50 resolution clauses if the relevant game is never played (e.g., 'If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined... this market will resolve to 50-50'). Primary resolution source is https://gol.gg/esports/home with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Polymarket's logic is game-centric and conditional on game completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.