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404,744

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LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume:
$2,250,746

Game 2 Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 9, 2026

Closed: Apr 8, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$761,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ninjas in Pyjamas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$841
N/A
N/A
$821
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 13.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 9.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 11.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 12.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 10.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$893,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$577,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,459
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Invictus Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,231
N/A
N/A
$1,994
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 63

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three League of Legends match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets span individual game outcomes, series results, objective-based metrics (dragons, barons, inhibitors), kill statistics, and rare multi-kill events (quadra/penta kills). The primary resolution source is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible video evidence as fallback if official results are delayed beyond 2 hours post-conclusion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's markets on Map 2 outcomes are logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves YES if EITHER Invictus Gaming wins Map 2 OR Ninjas in Pyjamas wins Map 2, which means the market resolves YES regardless of outcome. Polymarket's markets are logically coherent and resolve based on standard BO3 match winner, game-specific outcomes, and objective statistics tracked by gol.gg.Hero tip: Avoid betting on Kalshi's Map 2 markets (questions 1-2) as they contain a logical flaw that makes them unresolvable. All other markets on both platforms (Polymarket match winner, game-specific objectives, kill counts, handicaps, and individual game winners) are resolvable and aligned in logic. Focus trading activity on Polymarket's 80+ markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's two markets on Map 2 contain a critical logical contradiction. Both state 'If Invictus Gaming wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ninjas in Pyjamas wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes,' which means the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes of Map 2. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure. No other platform in this group contains this flaw.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket's 80 markets all use mutually exclusive resolution criteria tied to official gol.gg data. Markets resolve to one of two or three discrete outcomes (YES/NO, Over/Under, or named team/player), with clear tie-breaking and edge-case rules. For example, 'LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)' resolves to 'Ninjas in Pyjamas' if NIP wins, 'Invictus Gaming' if IG wins, and '50-50' if canceled or delayed beyond 7 days. All Polymarket markets are logically coherent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.