TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three League of Legends match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for April 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets span individual game outcomes, series results, objective-based metrics (dragons, barons, inhibitors), kill statistics, and rare multi-kill events (quadra/penta kills). The primary resolution source is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible video evidence as fallback if official results are delayed beyond 2 hours post-conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets on Map 2 outcomes are logically contradictory and unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves YES if EITHER Invictus Gaming wins Map 2 OR Ninjas in Pyjamas wins Map 2, which means the market resolves YES regardless of outcome. Polymarket's markets are logically coherent and resolve based on standard BO3 match winner, game-specific outcomes, and objective statistics tracked by gol.gg.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's Map 2 markets (questions 1-2) as they contain a logical flaw that makes them unresolvable. All other markets on both platforms (Polymarket match winner, game-specific objectives, kill counts, handicaps, and individual game winners) are resolvable and aligned in logic. Focus trading activity on Polymarket's 80+ markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's two markets on Map 2 contain a critical logical contradiction. Both state 'If Invictus Gaming wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ninjas in Pyjamas wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes,' which means the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes of Map 2. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and creates a data integrity failure. No other platform in this group contains this flaw.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket's 80 markets all use mutually exclusive resolution criteria tied to official gol.gg data. Markets resolve to one of two or three discrete outcomes (YES/NO, Over/Under, or named team/player), with clear tie-breaking and edge-case rules. For example, 'LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)' resolves to 'Ninjas in Pyjamas' if NIP wins, 'Invictus Gaming' if IG wins, and '50-50' if canceled or delayed beyond 7 days. All Polymarket markets are logically coherent and resolvable.
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