TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI Fénix and Barça eSports in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 8 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix" if Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Barça eSports. This market will resolve to "Barça eSports" if Barça eSports win the match against Movistar KOI Fénix. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market scopes and resolution triggers. Kalshi focuses on a single series-level metric (total maps played), while Polymarket offers 14 granular game-specific and series-level markets with varying resolution conditions. The platforms do not directly overlap in their core resolution logic.Hero Tip:
These are not competing markets on the same question. Kalshi bets on series length (Over/Under 2.5 maps), while Polymarket bets on specific in-game events (kills, objectives) and individual game outcomes. A Kalshi YES (3+ maps) does not predict any specific Polymarket outcome. Treat them as separate event families rather than hedges against each other.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single series-level market resolving YES if 3 or more maps (games) are played in the BO3, with no game-specific or objective-based markets. Resolution source is gol.gg, and the market triggers only on total game count, not on any in-game event. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the LES 2026: Barça eSports vs. Movistar KOI Fénix League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 14 separate markets spanning series-level outcomes (match winner, game handicap, games total O/U 2.5), individual game winners (Games 1, 2), and granular in-game events (Quadra Kills, Penta Kills, kill parity, dragon/baron/inhibitor destruction, both-teams conditions). Each market has independent resolution conditions and 50-50 fallback rules for non-completion or series-clinching scenarios. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1' and 'If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
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