TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$230,557,910

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,202,344,730

501,342

Markets across

13,602

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,822

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
Dashboards
kalshi
polymarket
Trending

LoL: LUA Gaming vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Volume:
$128,271
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three League of Legends match between LUA Gaming and Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES (Liga Española de Videojuegos) Regular Season, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. Markets span series outcomes, individual game winners, and in-game objective metrics (dragons, Baron, inhibitors, kills, and multi-kills) across Games 1, 2, and 3.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: Polymarket resolves the match winner based on official gol.gg data with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting, while Kalshi resolves YES if either team wins the match, creating a unified outcome where exactly one platform outcome (YES on Kalshi) corresponds to a specific Polymarket winner.

Primary resolution logic:

Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with fallback to consensus of credible reporting including video evidence if gol.gg has not published results within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • The match resolves to a winner (LUA Gaming or Movistar KOI Fénix) if played to completion in a best-of-3 format.
  • Match resolves 50-50 if canceled entirely, delayed beyond 7 days without completion, ends in a tie, or if a team wins via forfeit/disqualification/walkover before play begins.
  • If the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, Polymarket resolves to that team; Kalshi resolves YES (either team winning satisfies the condition).
  • Individual game markets (Game 1, 2, 3 winners and objective-based markets) resolve based on completed games only; unplayed games resolve 50-50.
  • Series-level markets (match winner, O/U 2.5 games, handicap) count games won by forfeit/default toward the total, provided the match is completed.
  • Remade games resolve based on the remade game only, not the original.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Forfeit After Series Start: If the match begins but is not completed and one team wins due to opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, Polymarket resolves to the winning team; Kalshi resolves YES. Series-level markets (O/U 2.5, handicap) resolve 50-50 in this scenario.
  • Forfeit Before Series Start: If a team forfeits/is disqualified/walks over before any game is played, Polymarket match winner resolves 50-50; Kalshi also resolves YES (satisfying either-team-wins condition), creating alignment.
  • Game Surrender Mid-Play: If a game begins but ends via surrender, objective-based markets (dragons, barons, inhibitors, kills) resolve based on whether conditions were met prior to stoppage. If conditions were not met, markets resolve NO.
  • Series Clinch Before Game 3: If a team clinches the series 2-0 before Game 3 is needed, Game 3 markets resolve 50-50; series-level markets resolve based on the 2 completed games.
  • Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (April 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET) without completion, all markets resolve 50-50.

Timing:

Resolution occurs upon official publication of match results on gol.gg within 2 hours of match conclusion. If gol.gg does not publish within 2 hours, resolution is based on consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. Match must be completed (all necessary games played to determine a winner) for non-50-50 resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.