TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between LOUD and RED Canids in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for March 28 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against RED Canids. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against LOUD. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves a binary match outcome (either team wins), while Polymarket resolves 20 distinct in-game metrics across Games 1, 2, and 3. The platforms are measuring incompatible settlement values with no logical overlap.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group — they settle on completely different underlying events. Kalshi bets on match winner; Polymarket bets on specific in-game statistics. A Kalshi YES (LOUD wins) tells you nothing about whether Polymarket's Game 1 kill totals or dragon outcomes will resolve YES or NO.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on binary match outcome only. Markets resolve YES if either LOUD or RED Canids wins the BO3 match; no in-game metrics are evaluated. Key quote: 'If LOUD wins the CBLOL 2026: RED Canids vs. LOUD League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If RED Canids wins the CBLOL 2026: RED Canids vs. LOUD League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on 20 distinct in-game metrics: Game 1/2/3 winners, kill totals (O/U at 11 thresholds per game), first blood, dragon/baron/inhibitor destruction, quadra/penta kills, odd/even kills, and series length. Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to gol.gg data. Key quote: 'This market is about whether both teams destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the total kills in Game 1 is 30 or more.'
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