TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Volume:
$2,272,117

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 29, 2026

Closed: Mar 28, 5:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$897,258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$788,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Karmine Corp

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95,096
N/A
N/A
$49,823
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 71

Description

This event group comprises 35 prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi covering a best-of-three League of Legends match between Karmine Corp and Team Vitality in the LEC Group Stage, originally scheduled for March 28, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET. Markets span match outcomes, individual game winners, objective control (dragons, barons, inhibitors), kill statistics, and rare multi-kill events across all three potential games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi resolves based on match outcome (winner of BO3), while Polymarket resolves based on individual game-level metrics (kills, dragons, objectives, multikills). These are orthogonal settlement values with no logical overlap.Hero tip: Do not cross-hedge Kalshi and Polymarket markets in this group — they settle on completely different events. A Kalshi YES (Team Vitality wins BO3) tells you nothing about whether Polymarket's Game 1 dragon market resolves YES. Treat each platform's markets as independent prediction sets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers only two markets, both resolving to match-level outcomes (BO3 winner). Market 1 states 'If Team Vitality wins the LEC 2026 match... then the market resolves to Yes' and Market 2 states 'If Karmine Corp wins the LEC 2026 match... then the market resolves to Yes.' Both markets resolve YES if their named team wins, creating a logical impossibility (both cannot be YES simultaneously). Kalshi provides no game-level or objective-level markets.
  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers 134 markets spanning match outcome, individual game winners, and granular in-game metrics (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, multikills, first blood, kill thresholds). Each market resolves independently based on specific game events or cumulative statistics. For example, 'Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?' resolves YES only if both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1, regardless of match outcome. Polymarket's resolution source is gol.gg/esports/home with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.