TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Joblife vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Joblife and Solary in the LFL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 10 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife win the match against Solary. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against Joblife. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi markets resolve based on match outcome (winner determination), while Polymarket markets resolve based on in-game statistics from Game 1 only. These are incompatible resolution scopes: Kalshi's markets can resolve even if no match occurs (50-50), whereas Polymarket's Game 1 markets require the match to be played and Game 1 to be completed.Hero Tip:
If you trade these markets, understand that Kalshi bets on 'who wins the match' while Polymarket bets on 'specific in-game events during Game 1.' A match cancellation resolves Kalshi to 50-50 but also resolves all Polymarket markets to 50-50. However, if Game 1 is played but ends via surrender before both teams slay Baron, Polymarket resolves NO while Kalshi may still resolve based on series outcome. Do not assume these markets move together.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based on match winner only. Markets 1 and 2 both resolve YES if their respective team wins the BO1 match. Market 14 (match winner) resolves to 'Joblife' or 'Solary' based on match outcome, or 50-50 if canceled, tied, or delayed beyond 7 days. Source is gol.gg or credible consensus. No in-game statistics are evaluated.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves based on specific in-game events during Game 1 only (Baron slays, Dragon slays, Inhibitor destruction, Quadra/Penta Kills, total kill parity). Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to game statistics, not match outcome. All resolve to 50-50 if Game 1 is not played or not completed. Source is gol.gg or credible consensus with video evidence.
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