LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Volume:
$4,488,344
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-5 Lower Bracket Final match between JD Gaming and Weibo Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, originally scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. Markets span match winner, individual game winners, game totals, kill counts, first blood, and handicap bets across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Polymarket and Kalshi differ in forfeit/walkover treatment for the match-winner market. Polymarket explicitly resolves pre-match forfeits to 50-50 and mid-series forfeits to the winning team; Kalshi provides no forfeit clause and treats any win as Yes. Additionally, Kalshi offers no game-level markets, while Polymarket provides 148 game-specific and aggregate markets.
Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, the match-winner market (Q44) is protected: pre-match forfeits = 50-50, mid-series forfeits = winning team wins. On Kalshi, any outcome (including forfeit) likely resolves Yes for the winner. For game-level bets (kills, first blood, individual game winners), trade only on Polymarket; Kalshi has no such markets. Monitor gol.gg for official results within 2 hours of match end on both platforms.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Match-winner market (Q44) explicitly handles forfeits: pre-match forfeit/disqualification/walkover = 50-50; mid-series forfeit = winning team resolves Yes. Cancellation, tie, or >7-day delay without winner = 50-50. All 148 markets reference gol.gg as primary source, with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.
Kalshi: Match-winner market states: 'If JD Gaming wins... then resolves to Yes' and 'If Weibo Gaming wins... then resolves to Yes.' No explicit handling of forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, ties, or delays. No game-level markets offered. No resolution source specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.