TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Oh My God in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for March 31 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Oh My God. This market will resolve to "Oh My God" if Oh My God win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on whether either team wins map 2 (a single game outcome), while Polymarket resolves based on a handicap applied to the entire best-of-3 series (2+ game differential). These are logically distinct events with no overlap in resolution criteria.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets will resolve identically. Kalshi's map 2 winner market is independent of series outcome; Polymarket's handicap market depends on total series performance. A team can win map 2 (Kalshi YES) but lose the series 2-1 (Polymarket resolves to the losing team). Treat them as separate bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if either JD Gaming or Oh My God wins map 2 in the match. This is a single-game outcome market with no reference to series result or handicap. Key quote: 'If JD Gaming wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes. If Oh My God wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves based on a -1.5/+1.5 game handicap applied to the entire best-of-3 series. JD Gaming wins if they win 2 or more games than Oh My God; otherwise Oh My God wins. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to JD Gaming if JD Gaming wins 2 or more games than Oh My God in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Oh My God.'
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