TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on market scope and resolution structure. Polymarket offers 26 granular markets covering match outcome, game-by-game winners, in-game events (kills, objectives), and kill totals across multiple thresholds. Kalshi offers only 1 market focused on whether either team wins map 1, providing no coverage of match outcome, series length, or in-game statistics.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, you gain exposure to comprehensive match and in-game metrics with multiple resolution paths. On Kalshi, you are betting only on map 1 completion and winner determination, with no hedging options for series outcome or game-specific events. Choose your platform based on whether you want granular event coverage (Polymarket) or a single binary outcome (Kalshi).Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides 26 separate markets covering match winner (series outcome), game-by-game winners (Game 1, 2, 3), in-game objectives (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors), kill milestones (Quadra/Penta Kills), kill totals (16+ thresholds per game), kill parity (Odd/Even), and First Blood. Primary source is gol.gg/esports/home with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Resolution includes forfeits, walkovers, and remakes with explicit 50-50 rules for incomplete matches or series clinches. Key quote: 'Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only 1 market asking whether Anyone's Legend or JD Gaming wins map 1 in the match scheduled for Apr 10, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT. No resolution logic, source, or edge-case rules are provided. The market resolves YES if either team wins map 1, but no guidance is given on forfeits, remakes, cancellations, or incomplete games. Key quote: 'If Anyone's Legend wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes. If JD Gaming wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes.'
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