TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Volume:
$158,439
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-1 match between Ici Japon Corp. Esport and Galions in the LFL Regular Season, scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome and in-game statistics including objectives (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors) and player achievements (Quadra/Penta Kills, total kill parity).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on the match winner (either team winning), while Polymarket resolves on specific in-game metrics (Baron kills, Dragon kills, total kills, inhibitors, Penta/Quadra kills) for Game 1 only. Kalshi's markets do not specify Game 1 and lack in-game condition details; Polymarket's markets are entirely Game 1-specific and outcome-independent.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are betting on match outcome (who wins the series). If you bet on Polymarket, you are betting on specific in-game events that may occur regardless of who wins Game 1. These are completely different prediction targets. A team can win Game 1 without both teams slaying Baron, or lose Game 1 but still have both teams slay a Dragon. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket outcomes will align.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on match winner only. The two Kalshi markets both resolve YES if either Galions or Ici Japon Corp. Esport wins the match (no distinction between them in the resolution rules provided), with no reference to in-game mechanics or Game 1 specificity. Key quote: 'If Galions wins the LFL 2026: Galions vs. Ici Japon Corp. Esport League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Ici Japon Corp. Esport wins the LFL 2026: Galions vs. Ici Japon Corp. Esport League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 9, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on in-game mechanics during Game 1 only, independent of match outcome. Five of the six Polymarket markets (Baron, Dragon, Kills parity, Inhibitors, Penta/Quadra kills) require specific in-game conditions to be met, with 50-50 resolution if Game 1 is not played or is remade. The sixth market (match winner) aligns with standard match outcome resolution but is distinct from the in-game metrics. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if both Ici Japon Corp. Esport and Galions each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1' and 'If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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