TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: HMBLE vs EKO Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between HMBLE and EKO Esports in the LIT Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 9 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "HMBLE" if HMBLE win the match against EKO Esports. This market will resolve to "EKO Esports" if EKO Esports win the match against HMBLE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home; if unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion, consensus of credible reporting including video evidence.Core resolution logic:
- Match Winner (Polymarket Q8 & Kalshi): Resolves to the team that wins the BO1 match. If canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in forfeit/walkover/tie, resolves 50-50.
- Game 1 Baron Nashor (Polymarket Q1): Resolves YES if both teams slay Baron at least once; NO if either team does not. Forfeits, walkovers, or series-clinch scenarios resolve 50-50.
- Game 1 Inhibitors (Polymarket Q4): Resolves YES if both teams destroy at least one inhibitor; NO if either team destroys none. Forfeits, walkovers, or series-clinch scenarios resolve 50-50.
- Game 1 Odd/Even Kills (Polymarket Q6): Resolves ODD or EVEN based on total combined champion kills. Zero kills, cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, forfeits, or walkovers resolve 50-50.
- Game 1 Dragon (Polymarket Q10): Resolves YES if both teams slay at least one elemental dragon; NO if either team does not. Elder Dragon kills do not count. Forfeits, walkovers, or series-clinch scenarios resolve 50-50.
- Game 1 Quadra Kill (Polymarket Q12): Resolves YES if any player achieves a Quadra Kill (including Penta); NO otherwise. Forfeits, walkovers, or series-clinch scenarios resolve 50-50.
- Game 1 Penta Kill (Polymarket Q14): Resolves YES if any player achieves a Penta Kill; NO otherwise. Forfeits, walkovers, or series-clinch scenarios resolve 50-50.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Series Clinch Before Game 1: If the series result is determined before Game 1 is played (e.g., team clinches in a BO3 or BO5), all Game 1-specific markets resolve 50-50 per both platforms' rules.
- Game 1 Surrender Mid-Game: If Game 1 begins but ends via surrender, objective markets (Baron, Inhibitors, Dragon) resolve based on whether the condition was met prior to stoppage. Kill-based markets (Odd/Even, Quadra, Penta) resolve based on kills recorded before surrender.
- Game 1 Remake: If Game 1 is remade, all Game 1 markets resolve based on the remade game only, not the original.
- Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (April 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET) without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of match results on gol.gg within 2 hours of event conclusion. If gol.gg does not publish within 2 hours, resolution is based on consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. Match is scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.