TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$224,446,576

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,198,377,813

501,416

Markets across

13,642

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,816

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Volume:
$2,887,211
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the LoL match between Hanwha Life Esports and BNK FEARX in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 10 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hanwha Life Esports" if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Hanwha Life Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based solely on Map 2 outcomes (YES if either team wins Map 2), while Polymarket resolves based on the entire Best-of-3 series winner. These are logically distinct events with no overlap in resolution criteria.

Hero Tip:

Do not cross-trade between Kalshi and Polymarket on this group. A Kalshi YES (Map 2 played) is independent of Polymarket's series winner. Kalshi's Map 2 focus creates a completely different risk profile — it resolves YES even if the series goes to Game 3 or is decided in Games 1-2, whereas Polymarket requires a full series outcome.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market resolves YES if either BNK FEARX or Hanwha Life Esports wins Map 2 in the LCK match. The resolution is binary on Map 2 only: 'If BNK FEARX wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hanwha Life Esports wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a YES outcome regardless of series result or other games.
  • Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket's primary market (LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2) resolves to the series winner only: 'This market will resolve to Hanwha Life Esports if Hanwha Life Esports win the match against BNK FEARX' and vice versa. Polymarket also includes 28 additional game-specific markets (Game 1/2/3 winners, kills, objectives, first blood) that depend on individual game outcomes, not the series result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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