TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
Volume:
$28,522
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the League of Legends match between GMBLERS ESPORTS and Colossal Gaming in the LIT Regular Season (BO1), scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome and Game 1 in-game metrics including objective control (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors), player highlights (Quadra/Penta Kills), and kill parity (Odd/Even total kills).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are properly scoped to Game 1 only with clear binary or conditional outcomes, while Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi match winner market entirely — it is unresolvable as written because both teams winning the match would trigger a YES resolution. Trade only the Polymarket markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, Quadra/Penta Kills, Odd/Even Kills), which have coherent resolution logic tied to Game 1 outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: The match winner market states: 'If GMBLERS ESPORTS wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Colossal Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, violating basic binary market structure. Quote: 'If GMBLERS ESPORTS wins the LIT 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes. If Colossal Gaming wins the LIT 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: All six markets are properly scoped to Game 1 only with coherent binary or conditional logic. Match winner resolves to team name (GMBLERS ESPORTS or Colossal Gaming), and all in-game markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, Quadra/Penta, Odd/Even Kills) resolve YES/NO or Odd/Even based on observable game events. All markets include consistent 50-50 fallback rules for cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, forfeit, or no-play scenarios. Quote (match winner): 'This market will resolve to GMBLERS ESPORTS if GMBLERS ESPORTS win the match... This market will resolve to Colossal Gaming if Colossal Gaming win the match...'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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