TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and Team Heretics in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 6 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Team Heretics. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against GIANTX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different market structures and resolution scopes. Kalshi focuses on a single binary outcome (whether over 2.5 maps are played), while Polymarket offers 14 distinct markets covering individual game outcomes, objective-based events, and series-level metrics. The platforms do not directly compete on the same questions, making direct comparison impossible for most markets.Hero Tip:
Kalshi bettors are exposed to a single series-length bet, while Polymarket bettors can granularly hedge or speculate on specific games, objectives, and kill thresholds. If you hold positions on both platforms, note that Kalshi's binary outcome (series goes to Game 3 or not) does not directly correlate with any single Polymarket market—you must aggregate multiple Polymarket outcomes to derive equivalent exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers only one market—a binary series-length bet. The market resolves YES if over 2.5 maps (i.e., 3 or more games) are played, and NO if 2 or fewer games are played. Resolution is based on official gol.gg data within 2 hours of event conclusion. Forfeit, disqualification, and walkover wins count toward the total. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 maps are played in the LEC 2026: Team Heretics vs. GIANTX League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 14 separate markets covering series winner, game-by-game winners, objective-based outcomes (dragons, barons, inhibitors), kill counts, penta/quadra kills, first blood, and kill parity (odd/even). Each market has independent resolution rules tied to specific game states or series outcomes. Game-specific markets resolve 50-50 if that game is never played (e.g., series clinched before Game 3). Series-level markets (match winner, Games Total O/U 2.5) resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in forfeit/disqualification. Key quote: 'If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
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