TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs
Description
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Galions and Solary in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 31 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against Solary. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against Galions. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the threshold for the total games market. Kalshi resolves YES if over 4.5 maps are played OR over 3.5 maps are played (logically impossible dual condition), while Polymarket clearly defines O/U 3.5 as resolving Over if 4+ games are played and Under if fewer than 4 games are played.Hero Tip:
The Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction with two conflicting thresholds (over 4.5 AND over 3.5). Polymarket's O/U 3.5 market is unambiguous: Over = 4+ games, Under = 1-3 games. If you trade the Kalshi market, seek clarification on which threshold actually applies, as the current wording cannot be resolved consistently.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains two conflicting resolution conditions stated as separate markets: 'If over 4.5 maps are played... resolves to Yes' AND 'If over 3.5 maps are played... resolves to Yes.' These thresholds are logically incompatible and cannot both be true simultaneously, creating an unresolvable ambiguity.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Defines a single, unambiguous O/U 3.5 threshold: 'This market will resolve to Over if Galions and Solary play 4 or more games in this series. If fewer than 4 games are played, this market will resolve to Under.' This is clear and resolvable.
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