TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Volume:
$226,068
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Best-of-5 League of Legends match between G2 Esports and Team Secret Whales scheduled for March 16, 2026, as part of the First Stand Group A tournament. Markets span match outcomes, individual game winners, series length, handicaps, objective-based in-game events (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitor kills), multi-kill achievements, kill totals, and first blood across multiple games.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's match winner market explicitly handles forfeits and disqualifications with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or a team withdraws before play begins, but resolves to the winning team if a forfeit occurs mid-series. Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure does not specify forfeit handling, creating ambiguity on whether a forfeit counts as a series win.Hero Tip:
Before the match begins, confirm with Kalshi whether a forfeit or disqualification counts as a series win (Yes) or results in a void/no-resolution outcome. Polymarket's logic is explicit: pre-start forfeit = 50-50, mid-series forfeit = winner resolves. Use this as your baseline for risk management.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Match winner resolves to G2 Esports or Team Secret Whales if either team wins. If canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined, resolves 50-50. If match begins but is incomplete and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover, resolves to the winning team. If match ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover (team withdraws before start and other wins automatically), resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
- Kalshi: Series resolves to Yes if Team Secret Whales wins OR if G2 Esports wins the First Stand 2026 match. No explicit handling of forfeits, disqualifications, or cancellations. The binary structure (Yes/No) does not clarify whether a forfeit counts as a series win or results in no resolution. Key quote: 'If Team Secret Whales wins the First Stand 2026: Team Secret Whales vs. G2 Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If G2 Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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