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LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A
polymarket
kalshi

LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Volume:
$226,068

G2 Esports

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 19, 2026

Closed: Mar 16, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

G2 Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$93,177
N/A
N/A
$84,650
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$59,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Team Secret Whales

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71,419
N/A
N/A
$59,343
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 3?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 3?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 3?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 112

Description

This event group covers a Best-of-5 League of Legends match between G2 Esports and Team Secret Whales scheduled for March 16, 2026, as part of the First Stand Group A tournament. Markets span match outcomes, individual game winners, series length, handicaps, objective-based in-game events (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitor kills), multi-kill achievements, kill totals, and first blood across multiple games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's match winner market explicitly handles forfeits and disqualifications with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled or a team withdraws before play begins, but resolves to the winning team if a forfeit occurs mid-series. Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure does not specify forfeit handling, creating ambiguity on whether a forfeit counts as a series win.Hero tip: Before the match begins, confirm with Kalshi whether a forfeit or disqualification counts as a series win (Yes) or results in a void/no-resolution outcome. Polymarket's logic is explicit: pre-start forfeit = 50-50, mid-series forfeit = winner resolves. Use this as your baseline for risk management.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match winner resolves to G2 Esports or Team Secret Whales if either team wins. If canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined, resolves 50-50. If match begins but is incomplete and one team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification/walkover, resolves to the winning team. If match ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover (team withdraws before start and other wins automatically), resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Series resolves to Yes if Team Secret Whales wins OR if G2 Esports wins the First Stand 2026 match. No explicit handling of forfeits, disqualifications, or cancellations. The binary structure (Yes/No) does not clarify whether a forfeit counts as a series win or results in no resolution. Key quote: 'If Team Secret Whales wins the First Stand 2026: Team Secret Whales vs. G2 Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If G2 Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.