TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and LOS in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for March 28 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOS. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against FURIA Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on market scope and resolution logic. Kalshi's markets (items 1-2) resolve YES if either team wins the match, creating a tautological outcome where the market always resolves YES. Polymarket's markets (items 3-76) provide specific, resolvable outcomes tied to individual game events, series length, and match results with clear win/loss conditions.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's match-winner markets are logically flawed and will always resolve YES regardless of outcome — avoid these. Polymarket's granular game-by-game and series markets offer genuine predictive value with meaningful YES/NO distinctions. If trading this event, focus exclusively on Polymarket's markets for actionable settlement risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's core markets (items 1-2) state 'If FURIA Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If LOS wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical tautology where both outcomes trigger YES resolution. This makes the market unresolvable as a binary prediction. Quote: 'If FURIA Esports wins the CBLOL 2026: LOS vs. FURIA Esports League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes. If LOS wins the CBLOL 2026: LOS vs. FURIA Esports League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket's 76 markets provide mutually exclusive, resolvable outcomes. The series winner market (item 22) resolves to either FURIA Esports or LOS based on match result. Game-specific markets (items 4-76) resolve YES/NO based on discrete in-game events (dragon kills, baron kills, inhibitor destruction, kill counts, first blood, quadra/penta kills) or game winners. Quote: 'This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOS. This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against FURIA Esports.'
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