TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Volume:
$429,016
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group comprises 31 prediction markets covering a best-of-three (BO3) League of Legends match between FURIA Esports and Leviatan Esports in the CBLOL Regular Season. Markets span series outcomes, individual game winners, in-game objectives (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors), player achievements (Quadra/Penta Kills), kill counts, and first blood events. The primary resolution source is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting consensus as fallback if results are not published within 2 hours of event conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes and sources. Kalshi resolves based on Map 1 outcome only (with a logical contradiction making all outcomes resolve YES), while Polymarket resolves based on the entire BO3 series winner or Game 1 winner depending on the specific market. Additionally, Kalshi references an April 11 date while Polymarket references April 6, creating a temporal mismatch.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent outcomes. A Kalshi Map 1 market will resolve YES regardless of who wins (due to the rule covering both teams winning), while Polymarket Game 1 and series markets resolve only if the specified team wins that game or series. Verify the scheduled date (April 6 vs April 11) before settlement — this discrepancy may indicate a rescheduled event or data error.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's Map 1 market (questions 1-2) contains a logical contradiction. The rules state the market resolves YES if either Leviatan OR FURIA wins Map 1, meaning all possible outcomes resolve to YES. This makes the market unresolvable as a binary bet. Additionally, Kalshi references the match as 'originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT' while Polymarket references 'April 6 at 12:00PM ET'. Key quote: 'If Leviatan Esports wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes. If FURIA Esports wins map 1... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with itself (sole coherent platform): Polymarket provides multiple distinct markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution logic. The series winner market (questions 2-3) resolves to the team that wins the BO3 match, with 50-50 resolution for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days. Game-specific markets (questions 4-5, 38-39) resolve based on the winner of that individual game only. All Polymarket markets reference 'April 6 at 12:00PM ET' as the scheduled date. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to FURIA Esports if FURIA Esports win the match against Leviatan Esports. This market will resolve to Leviatan Esports if Leviatan Esports win the match against Leviatan Esports.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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