TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
polymarket
kalshi

LoL: Estral Esports vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Volume:
$68,992

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estral Esports

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,981
N/A
N/A
$8,123
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

RMD Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,792
N/A
N/A
$13,782
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of a single League of Legends best-of-one match between Estral Esports and RMD Gaming, scheduled for March 30, 2026, in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season. The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the match, creating a tautological condition that effectively makes this a non-binary event with unclear settlement intent.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines a complete event group with 5 distinct markets (match winner, Baron, Quadra Kill, Penta Kill, Dragon, Inhibitor, Odd/Even Kills), all tied to Game 1 of a BO1 series with detailed resolution rules and a common primary source (gol.gg). Kalshi presents only a single binary market on match winner with no Game 1 specification, no secondary markets, and fundamentally different scope and structure, making the two platforms incompatible for unified settlement.Hero tip: Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket settle the same way. Polymarket's match-winner market is one of five interdependent Game 1 markets all sourced from gol.gg with detailed forfeit/remake/delay rules. Kalshi's market is a standalone match-outcome binary with no Game 1 qualifier and no mention of gol.gg or game-specific contingencies. If the match is delayed, forfeited, or remade, Polymarket's entire group may resolve to 50-50, but Kalshi's resolution logic is silent on these scenarios. Verify which platform you are trading on before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a comprehensive 5-market event group all anchored to Game 1 of the BO1 match, with a unified primary source (gol.gg/esports/home) and detailed contingency rules for cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, forfeit, disqualification, walkover, remake, and incomplete games. The match-winner market resolves to 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover before the start. All five Game 1 markets (Baron, Quadra Kill, Penta Kill, Dragon, Inhibitor, Odd/Even Kills) share identical delay/cancellation/forfeit/remake rules and resolve to 50-50 under the same conditions. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi presents a single binary match-outcome market with no Game 1 specification, no secondary markets, and no explicit contingency rules for delay, cancellation, forfeit, or remake. The market resolves YES if either team wins the match originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, but provides no guidance on what happens if the match is not played, is delayed indefinitely, ends in forfeit, or is remade. No primary resolution source is specified. Quote: 'If Estral Esports wins the Circuito Desafiante 2026: RMD Gaming vs. Estral Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.