TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Deer Gaming vs Arctic Pandas (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
Volume:
$94,610
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single League of Legends Best-of-1 match between Deer Gaming and Arctic Pandas in the NLC (Northern League of Legends Championship) Regular Season, scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the match, with specific handling for cancellations, forfeits, and delays.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution criteria conflate match outcome with league championship outcome through ambiguous phrasing, while Polymarket provides explicit match-specific resolution with clear edge case definitions and a named primary source. The core binary outcome (which team wins) is consistent, but the framing and edge case handling differ significantly.Hero Tip:
Adopt Polymarket's resolution framework as the standard. Verify the match result on gol.gg within 2 hours of conclusion. If the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without completion, or ends in a pre-match forfeit, both platforms should resolve to a tie (50-50 on Polymarket; clarify Kalshi's tie handling). If a mid-match forfeit occurs, the winning team resolves the market on Polymarket; confirm Kalshi's treatment.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins the match, but phrasing conflates match outcome with 'NLC 2026' championship outcome, creating ambiguity about scope. No explicit edge case handling for cancellations, delays, or forfeits. Key Quote: 'If Deer Gaming wins the NLC 2026: Arctic Pandas vs. Deer Gaming League of Legends match originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves to 'Deer Gaming' or 'Arctic Pandas' based on match winner. Explicit edge cases: cancellation/tie/delay beyond 7 days = 50-50; mid-match forfeit/disqualification = winning team; pre-match forfeit = 50-50. Primary source: gol.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Key Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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