TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas
Volume:
$471,482
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 29, 2026 between Llaneros FC and Once Caldas.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Llaneros win, Tie, Once Caldas win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to determine a single settlement value. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where each outcome has its own market that resolves YES or NO, enabling proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it contains a fatal logical flaw. If you hold a position, clarify with Kalshi whether this is a data entry error or if the market is intended to resolve YES regardless of outcome. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Llaneros win, Once Caldas win, Draw) are resolvable and should be your reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market resolves YES for every possible outcome (Llaneros win, Tie, or Once Caldas win), creating a logical contradiction. The market states 'If Llaneros wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Once Caldas wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning no outcome can produce a NO resolution.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets—one for Llaneros FC win (YES if Llaneros wins, NO otherwise), one for Once Caldas win (YES if Once Caldas wins, NO otherwise), and one for Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Each market has a single, mutually exclusive outcome. Quote: 'If Once Caldas wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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