TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Llaneros FC vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC
Volume:
$72,045
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Llaneros FC and Jaguares de Córdoba FC scheduled for March 9, 2026. Three related prediction markets track the outcome: whether Llaneros wins, whether the match ends in a draw, and whether Jaguares wins. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation language and implies all outcomes resolve Yes (logically contradictory). Polymarket explicitly resolves win markets to No and draw market to Yes if the match is canceled with no make-up game.Hero Tip:
Assume postponement is more likely than outright cancellation in Colombian professional soccer. If cancellation does occur, Polymarket's draw market is the only one that pays out. On Kalshi, the absence of a cancellation clause creates ambiguity—contact support before the match to confirm the fallback rule. Avoid overweighting cancellation risk in pricing unless DIMAYOR signals fixture instability.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive binary markets (Llaneros win, Tie, Jaguares win) all resolve to Yes under their respective conditions. No explicit cancellation clause. Logical issue: if all three outcomes resolve Yes, the market set is unresolvable if the match is canceled. Key Quote: 'If Llaneros wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaguares wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation rules. Llaneros win and Jaguares win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up game. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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