TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK - Halftime Result
Volume:
$54,972
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Liverpool FC and Galatasaray SK, scheduled for March 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules contain a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Kalshi states that the market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (Liverpool win, Galatasaray win, or draw), while Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets, each resolving YES or NO based on a single outcome. This makes Kalshi's market logically impossible to settle.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's halftime result market. The resolution criteria are contradictory—the market cannot resolve YES for all three mutually exclusive outcomes simultaneously. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Liverpool leading, Galatasaray leading, Draw) are the only logically coherent way to bet on halftime outcomes. If you have exposure on Kalshi, escalate to the platform for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct structure): Polymarket offers three separate binary markets, each resolving YES or NO based on a single halftime outcome. 'If Liverpool FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This structure ensures exactly one outcome per market and logical consistency across the group.
- Kalshi: Outlier (logical contradiction): Kalshi's single market states that it resolves YES if Galatasaray wins, YES if there is a tie, and YES if Liverpool wins—covering all three mutually exclusive outcomes in one market. 'If Galatasaray is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Liverpool is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.' This makes the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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