TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Volume:
$1,155,256
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC FA Cup match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Liverpool win, a Brighton win, or a draw, all measured within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically impossible: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Liverpool Win, Tie, Brighton Win) are specified to resolve Yes, violating the law of excluded middle. Polymarket has internally consistent logic but diverges on cancellation handling for the Draw market versus the Win markets.Hero Tip:
Kalshi markets are fundamentally unresolvable as written. Do not trade Kalshi contracts until resolution logic is corrected. On Polymarket, the Draw market has asymmetric cancellation risk: it resolves Yes if the game is canceled, while both Win markets resolve No. This creates a hidden hedge: if cancellation risk is priced in, the Draw market may be overvalued relative to Win markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three markets (Liverpool Win, Tie, Brighton Win) are specified to resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs. However, the resolution text states: 'If Liverpool wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Brighton wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. No cancellation clause is provided, leaving cancellation handling undefined.
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with internally consistent logic: Brighton Win resolves Yes if Brighton wins, No otherwise (No on cancellation); Draw resolves Yes if draw occurs, Yes if canceled with no make-up; Liverpool Win resolves Yes if Liverpool wins, No otherwise (No on cancellation). Cancellation handling is explicitly asymmetric: Draw market benefits from cancellation, Win markets do not.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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