TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions
kalshi
polymarket

Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions

Volume:
$329,422

Lindenwood

 - Kalshi

Lindenwood - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 5, 2026

Closed: Mar 5, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lindenwood

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$164,370
N/A
N/A
$112,682
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Little Rock

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150,428
N/A
N/A
$103,534
Settled
No
polymarket

Little Rock Trojans vs. Lindenwood Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 148.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between the Little Rock Trojans and Lindenwood Lions scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, total points over/under 148.5, and multiple spread variations (-2.5, -3.5, -4.5 for Lindenwood).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Lindenwood win and Little Rock win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unhedgeable.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It is broken. Trade Polymarket's winner, spread, and total markets instead—they all use consistent final-score resolution logic and are resolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline resolves to Yes for either team winning. Logic flaw: both outcomes map to Yes, creating an unresolvable market. Quote: If Lindenwood wins...Yes. If Little Rock wins...Yes.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winner's name (Little Rock Trojans or Lindenwood Lions). Standard binary resolution. Winner determined by final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.