TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens - Halftime Result
Volume:
$5,212
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a Ligue 1 soccer match between Lille OSC and Racing Club de Lens scheduled for April 4, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Lille leading at halftime, a draw at halftime, or Lens leading at halftime. Resolution depends on the official score after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket presents three distinct binary markets with explicit Yes/No logic per outcome. Kalshi's documentation lists three conditions all resolving to Yes, creating ambiguity about whether it is three separate binaries or a single categorical market. The underlying resolution criteria (official halftime score after 45 minutes plus stoppage time) are consistent, but the market structure and payout mechanics differ.Hero Tip:
Confirm Kalshi's actual market structure with the platform. If it is three separate binary markets (Lille Win, Draw, Lens Win), both platforms are logically unified and the divergence is resolved. If Kalshi is a single categorical market, traders should account for different hedge ratios and basis risk between platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets. Each resolves Yes if its specific outcome occurs (Lille leading, Draw, or Lens leading at halftime), No otherwise. Explicitly states: If the game is canceled with no make-up, market resolves No. If postponed, market remains open until completion.
- Kalshi: Documentation lists three resolution conditions (Lille winner, Tie, Lens winner) all stated as resolving to Yes. Market structure (single categorical vs three binaries) is ambiguous from provided text. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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