TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC
polymarket
kalshi

Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC

Volume:
$8,372,950

Manchester City

 - Kalshi

Manchester City - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manchester City

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,288,599
N/A
N/A
$1,739,732
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manchester City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,746,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Leeds United FC

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$474,729
$510,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC)

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$434,031
$123,394
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leeds United

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$527,787
N/A
N/A
$271,695
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$175,881
N/A
N/A
$109,316
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional English Premier League soccer match between Leeds United FC and Manchester City FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Leeds United win, Manchester City win, or a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction in its cancellation clause that conflicts with the win markets. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation language, creating ambiguity in force majeure scenarios.Hero tip: Focus trading on the primary outcome (win/loss) rather than draw markets on Polymarket until the platform clarifies the cancellation logic. On Kalshi, assume standard sports market practice: postponed games remain open, canceled games void all markets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Leeds win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Manchester City win YES/NO). Draw market uniquely resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up, while win markets resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets). This creates logical impossibility.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets that each resolve YES only if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins...after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' Implies standard market voiding on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.