TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC
Volume:
$8,372,950
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional English Premier League soccer match between Leeds United FC and Manchester City FC scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Leeds United win, Manchester City win, or a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction in its cancellation clause that conflicts with the win markets. Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation language, creating ambiguity in force majeure scenarios.Hero Tip:
Focus trading on the primary outcome (win/loss) rather than draw markets on Polymarket until the platform clarifies the cancellation logic. On Kalshi, assume standard sports market practice: postponed games remain open, canceled games void all markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Leeds win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Manchester City win YES/NO). Draw market uniquely resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up, while win markets resolve NO. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets). This creates logical impossibility.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets that each resolve YES only if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If [outcome] wins...after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' Implies standard market voiding on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.