TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Stonehill Skyhawks
Volume:
$420,572
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Le Moyne Dolphins and Stonehill Skyhawks scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -2.5 and -3.5, and total points over/under at 136.5 and 138.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Le Moyne win and Stonehill win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market cannot be settled because both winning scenarios resolve identically. Polymarket offers resolvable alternatives: use the moneyline (winner name) or spreads/totals with clear numeric thresholds. Request Kalshi clarification before engaging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Le Moyne Dolphins or Stonehill Skyhawks). Spreads require margin victory (3+ points for -2.5, 4+ for -3.5). Totals use combined score thresholds (137+ for Over at 136.5, 139+ for Over at 138.5). All markets include postponement hold and 50-50 cancellation clause. Source: NCAA.com.
- Kalshi: Moneyline states both 'If Le Moyne wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Stonehill wins...resolves to Yes', creating logical impossibility. No cancellation or postponement clause specified. Market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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