This event group covers the Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC Ligue 1 match scheduled for February 15, 2026. Polymarket offers binary markets on match outcome (Le Havre win, Toulouse win, draw), while Kalshi offers over/under markets on total goals scored. All markets reference the same fixture and resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time), same match date (February 15, 2026), and consistent cancellation/postponement handling with reference to official Ligue 1 records.
Primary resolution logic:
Ligue1.com official match results and records
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties excluded
Match date: February 15, 2026, Toulouse at Le Havre
Outcome determination: Official final score as recorded by Ligue 1
Postponement: Markets remain open until match is completed
Cancellation with no rescheduled date: Outcome markets (Polymarket) resolve No except draw resolves Yes; goal markets (Kalshi) resolve based on official final score if any game is played
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. Resolution then occurs based on the final score of the completed match.
Match Cancellation Without Reschedule: Polymarket outcome markets (Le Havre win, Toulouse win) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi goal markets resolve based on the official final score if any portion of the match is played; if no match occurs at all, Kalshi markets resolve No (no goals scored).
Extra Time or Penalties: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts. Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts for resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on February 15, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), based on the official Ligue 1 final score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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