TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lamar Cardinals vs. Houston Christian Huskies (W)
Volume:
$6,406
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Lamar Cardinals and Houston Christian Huskies scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets on Polymarket and Kalshi differ fundamentally in their resolution logic: Polymarket resolves to the winning team's name, while Kalshi resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure divergence: Polymarket is a head-to-head binary (Cardinals vs Huskies with 50-50 cancellation clause), while Kalshi resolves to Yes for either team winning, creating misaligned settlement logic.Hero Tip:
Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Polymarket offers true competitive exposure (long Cardinals, short Huskies or vice versa). Kalshi appears to resolve Yes in all game-completion scenarios, making it functionally different. Clarify Kalshi's No condition (likely cancellation or postponement) before using as a hedge.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-pick market. Resolves to winning team name (Cardinals or Huskies). Postponements keep market open; cancellations with no makeup resolve 50-50 split. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
- Kalshi: Yes/No market that resolves Yes if Lamar wins OR if Houston Christian wins. No explicit condition stated for No resolution; implies cancellation or non-completion triggers No, but this is not stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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