TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lakers vs. Rockets
Volume:
$14,859,404
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 26 at 9:30PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's second-half regulation market measures a different time window than Polymarket's full-game markets. Kalshi resolves on second-half outcome only; Polymarket resolves on final full-game score including overtime.Hero Tip:
These are two distinct events. Kalshi's second-half market is useful for in-game trading but cannot be arbitraged against Polymarket's full-game markets. Understand that a second-half winner does not predict the full-game winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets all resolve on final full-game score including overtime: (1) Moneyline - Lakers vs Rockets winner; (2) Spread -4.5 - Rockets win by 5+; (3) Spread -5.5 - Rockets win by 6+; (4) Over/Under 207.5 - Combined score 208+. All include postponement hold and 50-50 cancellation logic. Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
- Kalshi: Single market resolves on second-half regulation outcome only. Resolves Yes if Houston wins second half, Tie occurs in second half, or Lakers win second half - meaning it resolves Yes in all cases (universal resolution). This is a fundamentally different measurement window than full-game markets. Key Quote: 'If Houston is the winner of the second half of regulation time in the Los Angeles L vs Houston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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