This event group covers the NBA game between the Los Angeles Lakers and Houston Rockets scheduled for March 16, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET at Houston. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half derivatives across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms use identical resolution logic: official NBA box score, overtime inclusion, 50-50 on full cancellation, and consistent tie-breaking rules.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline (full game and 1H): Lakers win if they have higher score at final buzzer (or halftime for 1H); Rockets win if they have higher score. Ties at halftime resolve 50-50.
Spreads (full game and 1H): Rockets (-2.5, -1.5, -0.5) resolve Yes if Rockets win by the specified margin or more; otherwise Lakers. Ties resolve to Lakers.
Totals (full game and 1H): Over resolves if combined team points meet or exceed the stated threshold (e.g., 225+ for O/U 224.5); Under otherwise.
Player Props (Points, Rebounds, Assists): Yes if player exceeds threshold; No if at or below threshold. Inactive players resolve No.
All markets include overtime periods in final calculation.
Game postponement: markets remain open until completion.
Full cancellation with no make-up: all markets resolve 50-50.
Player Inactivity: If a player is listed inactive or does not take the court, all their prop markets resolve No.
Game Postponement: Markets remain open and do not resolve until the game is completed on a future date.
Full Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
Overtime Inclusion: All statistics and scores include any overtime periods played; final box score on NBA.com is authoritative.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final buzzer of the completed game. Official NBA box score publication on NBA.com is the trigger for settlement. For 1H markets, resolution occurs at halftime. If the game is postponed, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled game is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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