TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lakers vs. Pacers
Volume:
$9,216,573
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 25 at 7:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on a binary outcome (Indiana wins OR Los Angeles wins), while Polymarket resolves on multiple distinct markets covering moneyline, spreads, player props, and over/unders. Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent (both outcomes resolve to YES), making it unresolvable.Hero Tip:
DO NOT trade Kalshi's market — it contains a fatal logical error where both possible outcomes (Indiana wins OR Lakers win) resolve to YES, violating basic binary logic. All meaningful price discovery occurs on Polymarket, which offers 140 distinct, coherent markets. If you hold Kalshi positions, treat them as void.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market states 'If Indiana wins the Los Angeles L at Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Los Angeles L wins the Los Angeles L at Indiana professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction — both mutually exclusive outcomes cannot both resolve YES in a binary market. The market is unresolvable as written.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA settlement logic: Polymarket offers 140 coherent markets covering moneyline (Lakers vs. Pacers), spreads (Lakers -8.5 through -24.5), over/unders (237.5 through 260.5 total points), first-half variants, and player props (LeBron, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard, etc.). Each market resolves to a single outcome based on official NBA box scores published on NBA.com. Example: 'This market will resolve to Lakers if the Lakers win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Pacers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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