Lakers vs. Mavericks

Critical divergence points:

• Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a critical logical flaw. The market states 'If Dallas wins the Los Angeles L at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Los Angeles L wins the Los Angeles L at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for all possible game outcomes, rendering it unresolvable. No resolution criteria are provided for postponement, cancellation, or any other contingency.
• Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design principles: Polymarket provides 24 coherent, mutually exclusive markets with clear resolution logic. The moneyline market (item 2) resolves to 'Lakers' if Lakers win and 'Mavericks' if Mavericks win, with explicit handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). All spread markets (items 4, 26, 34, 68, 78, 90, 102, 106, 112, 116, 118, 122, 124, 126, 132, 138, 142) define precise point thresholds. All over/under markets (items 6, 28, 36, 88, 92, 96, 98, 100, 104, 108, 110, 114, 120, 128, 130, 134, 136, 140, 144, 146, 148, 150, 152, 154, 156) define exact combined-score thresholds. All player prop markets (items 8-24, 42-76) specify whether thresholds are inclusive or exclusive and include inactive-player clauses. First-half markets (items 80-86) clearly scope resolution to halftime only.