TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Lafayette Leopards vs. American Eagles (W)
Volume:
$60,884
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Lafayette Leopards and American Eagles scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Lafayette win or American win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken and will resolve to Yes regardless of which team wins, eliminating all predictive value. Trade exclusively on Polymarket, which correctly implements binary resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary resolution: Lafayette Leopards win resolves to Lafayette Leopards; American Eagles win resolves to American Eagles. Includes edge case handling: postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction: If Lafayette wins, resolves to Yes. If American wins, resolves to Yes. No path to No resolution exists. This violates binary market structure and makes the contract unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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