A college basketball matchup between La Salle Explorers and Duquesne Dukes scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 145.5, and point spreads at -11.5 and -10.5 for Duquesne.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both La Salle win and Duquesne win are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent and resolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi until the platform clarifies the market structure. The Polymarket moneyline, over/under, and spread markets are safe to trade based on standard CBB resolution logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Four distinct markets with clear binary or ternary logic: Moneyline resolves to winning team name; O/U 145.5 resolves Over if combined score >= 146, else Under; Spreads resolve based on margin of victory vs line. All use final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic: states 'If La Salle wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Duquesne wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot map to the same resolution value in a binary market. No specification of what resolves to No or how to handle postponement/cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.