TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
La Salle Explorers vs. Army Black Knights (W)
Volume:
$586,221
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the women's college basketball game between La Salle Explorers and Army Black Knights originally scheduled for March 25, 2026, played at Army's venue. The market will settle to Yes if either team wins the game, making it a binary event with no ambiguity around the winner determination.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves to YES if either team wins (binary outcome), while Polymarket resolves to a categorical outcome naming the specific winner. This creates different settlement value structures: Kalshi produces a single YES resolution regardless of winner, whereas Polymarket produces one of two mutually exclusive categorical resolutions.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting that the game occurs and resolves (YES for any winner). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on which specific team wins. These are fundamentally different market structures—Kalshi is a binary event-occurrence market, while Polymarket is a winner-selection market. Ensure your position aligns with your actual prediction of the winner, not just game occurrence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves to YES if either Army or La Salle wins, treating both outcomes identically. The market structure is binary (YES/NO) with no differentiation between winners. Key quote: 'If Army wins the La Salle at Army women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If La Salle wins the La Salle at Army women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Resolves to one of two categorical outcomes—either 'La Salle Explorers' or 'Army Black Knights'—depending on which team wins. The market structure is categorical (winner-selection) with explicit differentiation between outcomes. Key quote: 'If the La Salle Explorers win, the market will resolve to La Salle Explorers. If the Army Black Knights win, the market will resolve to Army Black Knights.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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