TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka
kalshi
polymarket

Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka

Volume:
$157,073

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 29, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 5:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,341
N/A
N/A
$26,214
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Gamba Ōsaka)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,362
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,730
N/A
N/A
$17,364
Settled
No
polymarket

Kyōto Sanga FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,783
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Gamba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,187
N/A
N/A
$13,165
Settled
No
polymarket

Gamba Ōsaka

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,671
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Kyōto Sanga FC and Gamba Ōsaka.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market includes an atypical cancellation clause (resolves YES if canceled) that contradicts Kalshi's standard tie-outcome-only logic. This creates platform-specific settlement risk in cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Recognize the cancellation clause asymmetry. Polymarket's draw market is effectively a bet on either a draw OR cancellation, while Kalshi's is purely outcome-based. If you believe cancellation risk is material, Polymarket YES on draw becomes more valuable. Conversely, if you expect the match to be played, both platforms should converge on standard three-outcome logic (Kyōto win, draw, Gamba win).

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Kyōto Sanga win (resolves NO if canceled), Draw (resolves YES if canceled), Gamba Ōsaka win (resolves NO if canceled). Draw market contains unique cancellation clause. Primary source is official J-League statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets covering all possible results: Kyoto Sanga win, Tie, and Gamba win. All resolve YES only if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard convention implies cancellation voids the market. Key Quote: 'If Tie wins the Kyoto Sanga vs Gamba professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.