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406,422

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5

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Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Fagiano Okayama
kalshi
polymarket

Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Fagiano Okayama

Volume:
$179,541

Kyoto Sanga

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 11, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 6:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,904
N/A
N/A
$22,335
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyōto Sanga FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fagiano O

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,914
N/A
N/A
$75,546
Settled
No
polymarket

Fagiano Okayama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,940
N/A
N/A
$16,274
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Fagiano Okayama)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,004
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Kyōto Sanga FC and Fagiano Okayama scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure contains a logical contradiction: three mutually exclusive outcomes are all mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to determine which outcome occurred. Polymarket uses standard binary markets with proper mutually exclusive logic.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets until clarification is obtained. The Kalshi market as written cannot be resolved because every possible outcome resolves to Yes. Polymarket markets are standard and resolvable. If forced to choose, use Polymarket as the authoritative source.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible outcomes (Kyoto win, Fagiano win, Tie) to Yes resolution. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Quote: 'If Kyoto Sanga wins... resolves to Yes. If Fagiano O wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with proper mutually exclusive logic: Kyoto Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Fagiano Win (Yes/No). Each market resolves based on the actual match outcome. Quote: 'If Kyōto Sanga FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.