TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Fagiano Okayama
Volume:
$179,541
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Kyōto Sanga FC and Fagiano Okayama scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure contains a logical contradiction: three mutually exclusive outcomes are all mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to determine which outcome occurred. Polymarket uses standard binary markets with proper mutually exclusive logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets until clarification is obtained. The Kalshi market as written cannot be resolved because every possible outcome resolves to Yes. Polymarket markets are standard and resolvable. If forced to choose, use Polymarket as the authoritative source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible outcomes (Kyoto win, Fagiano win, Tie) to Yes resolution. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Quote: 'If Kyoto Sanga wins... resolves to Yes. If Fagiano O wins... resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with proper mutually exclusive logic: Kyoto Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Fagiano Win (Yes/No). Each market resolves based on the actual match outcome. Quote: 'If Kyōto Sanga FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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