TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK
Volume:
$454,110
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği SK.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three binary markets (Gençlerbirliği win, draw, Konyaspor win) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves YES for ALL three possible outcomes (tie, Konyaspor win, or Gençlerbirliği win), making it logically unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive match outcomes trigger YES resolution, which violates binary market semantics. Polymarket's three-market structure correctly partitions the outcome space. If you hold Kalshi contracts, expect resolution disputes or platform intervention.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three separate binary markets, each covering one mutually exclusive outcome (Gençlerbirliği win, draw, Konyaspor win). Exactly one market resolves YES and two resolve NO. Resolution source is official TFF statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation with no makeup resolves the draw market to YES and the win markets to NO.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions that all trigger YES: 'If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes. If Konyaspor wins... then resolves to Yes. If Genclerbirligi wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will always resolve YES regardless of the match result, violating binary contract principles.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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