TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK
polymarket
kalshi

Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK

Volume:
$454,110

Konyaspor

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 19, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Konyaspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138,167
N/A
N/A
$65,853
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Konyaspor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gençlerbirliği SK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Genclerbirligi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,070
N/A
N/A
$21,056
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Konyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,090
N/A
N/A
$24,840
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between Konyaspor and Gençlerbirliği SK.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three binary markets (Gençlerbirliği win, draw, Konyaspor win) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves YES for ALL three possible outcomes (tie, Konyaspor win, or Gençlerbirliği win), making it logically unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive match outcomes trigger YES resolution, which violates binary market semantics. Polymarket's three-market structure correctly partitions the outcome space. If you hold Kalshi contracts, expect resolution disputes or platform intervention.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three separate binary markets, each covering one mutually exclusive outcome (Gençlerbirliği win, draw, Konyaspor win). Exactly one market resolves YES and two resolve NO. Resolution source is official TFF statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation with no makeup resolves the draw market to YES and the win markets to NO.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions that all trigger YES: 'If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes. If Konyaspor wins... then resolves to Yes. If Genclerbirligi wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will always resolve YES regardless of the match result, violating binary contract principles.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.