TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kocaelispor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK
Volume:
$235,428
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Kocaelispor and Rams Başakşehir FK scheduled for April 6, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Kocaelispor win, draw, and Başakşehir win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between Polymarket's draw market (resolves YES on cancellation) and all other markets across both platforms (resolve NO on cancellation). This creates a logical inconsistency in how the same event maps to market outcomes.Hero Tip:
If you are long the Polymarket draw market and short the Polymarket win markets, a full cancellation with no rescheduled match creates a guaranteed loss on the win markets (NO pays) while the draw market gains (YES pays). Conversely, if you are short the draw market and long the win markets, cancellation is profitable. Hedge accordingly or avoid this structural mismatch by trading only on one platform or only markets with aligned cancellation logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Draw market: Resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. Win markets (Kocaelispor and Başakşehir): Resolve NO if game is canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve NO' (wins).
- Kalshi: All three markets (Basaksehir win, Kocaeli win, Tie) resolve YES only if the specified outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard interpretation is that cancellation = no resolution trigger = NO for all markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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